Strength of evidence, judged probability, and choice under uncertainty.

Hedonic Pricing under Uncertainty: A Theoretical Consumer Behavior Model

A model of consumer behavior has been formulated by using an additive utility function and the hedonic pricing approach, in a virtual market. Since, there is a time lag between ordering and purchasing products (goods and services) online and receiving them, it means the consumer makes decision under uncertainty. The level of satisfaction with products with distinctive characteristics is describ...

The Effect Of Salvage Market On Strategic Technology Choice And Capacity Investment Decision Of Firm Under Demand Uncertainty

A Case-Based Model of Probability and Pricing Judgments: Biases in Buying and Selling Uncertainty

W integrate a case-based model of probability judgment with prospect theory to explore asset pricing under uncertainty. Research within the “heuristics and biases” tradition suggests that probability judgments respond primarily to case-specific evidence and disregard aggregate characteristics of the class to which the case belongs, resulting in predictable biases. The dual-system framework pres...

Pseudo-Likelihood Inference Underestimates Model Uncertainty: Evidence from Bayesian Nearest Neighbours

When using the K-nearest neighbours (KNN) method, one often ignores the uncertainty in the choice of K. To account for such uncertainty, Bayesian KNN (BKNN) has been proposed and studied (Holmes and Adams 2002 Cucala et al. 2009). We present some evidence to show that the pseudo-likelihood approach for BKNN, even after being corrected by Cucala et al. (2009), still significantly underest...

belief function and the transferable belief model

Beliefs are the result of uncertainty. Sometimes uncertainty is because of a random process and sometimes the result of lack of information. In the past, the only solution in situations of uncertainty has been the probability theory. But the past few decades, various theories of other variables and systems are put forward for the systems with no adequate and accurate information. One of these a...